Re: [Air-l] 988 exabytes of info created in 2010
Perhaps there are domains of activity where it is often true. But it's certainly not my experience as both a producer and user of non-academic indicators-based research, each in both commercial settings and in government.
Sounds like a researchable question, no? Where do 'actual decision makers' get their information sources from? Why do they turn to it? What's the role of 'names that you know' and expectations of how their 'audiences/bosses' will respond to the source?
Sure. But it's one thing for Source A to beat Source B. It's another to turn to Source A because there is no Source B. My experience is that most 'audiences/bosses' are pretty free and easy with the range of acceptable Source As, as long as it provides answers to the question that they think is important -- I have seen really any name brand do, which ranges from IDC to eMarketer to just about anything with the word "university" or "college" attached. Now, where data are available from both, say, Research Service Inc. and Local Research University, the issue you are talking about would probably come up. I would offer only two caveats. First, it comes up much more rarely than one would think. Even on questions where multiple attempts at the answer exist, people often stop at the first reasonable one they find, rather than evaluating the range of options -- in other words, "names that you know", but as a search strategy rather than a weighing of alternative findings. That's why things like citation in the media and search engine placement are so important to industry researchers: if you can be the first stop, you may well be the only stop. And, second, even where it does come up, other criteria are more important: depending on who the 'audience/bosses' are, a more recent/conservative/aggressive answer may be preferred. My experience has almost always been that criteria such as these -- i.e. if both Source A and Source B exist, which better fits the story I am trying to tell -- outweigh any reputational issues. But, for sure, researchable: till then, anecdotes are all we've got. ;-)
Certainly there are failings in the review system for academic research, but that one can point to them is evidence for the point I was, perhaps clumsily, trying to make: at least there is some form of public review of academic (and government) research, some ethic of open review that one can rest some weight of quality upon.
There doesn't seem to be any equivalent system for commercial research, revealing methods seems optional, at best.
I think I know what you mean. And, intuitively, it makes sense: academic research has a relatively uniform institutional structure, so there should be less variability in research quality than in research conducted in, for instance, commercial or government settings that are outside the academic world. And, variability-wise, maybe that's true. But my sense has also been that, on the one hand, academic review standards in some journals are very limited because of anything from disciplinary insularity to very lax oversight of journals' own review processes -- the opposite is true in other locations of course, but nonetheless -- and that, on the other hand, the reputational risks facing industry researchers who know that their primary audience may well be the exact industry participants best positioned to review their work, may spur them to be very rigorous indeed. Putting all that together, then, my sense is that the primary harms of lousy non-academic research (and especially industry research which is sold and whose producers are therefore incented to have the media talk about it) derive from their reporting in popular media. I believe that lousy industry research that pertains to the telecom and IT domains just doesn't cut it among its primary consumers, who will know if it is way wrong. On the other hand, the same research may be very widely reported in the news media, who not only have few ways of knowing whether the study is way wrong or not, but rarely consult -- nor really have the time to consult -- potential sober-second-thought providers who might provide a reality check. In fact, there is something similar which occurred with the telecom meltdown of the late 1990s. The 100-day traffic-doubling myth derived not from any industry research, but from a media pick-up and amplification and distortion of something a single spokesperson at an Internet backbone provider claimed. The absorption of that myth into an environment with a proclivity to believe it and without competing evidence to infirm it was one of the more significant bad-"research" consequences around. Except that there was no "research" at all. That's why I would agree:
Now if the commerical firms got together a review system, that would be a very interesting 'industry self regulation' development :)
A review system which functioned in the form of a certification standard, and which was publicized and adopted widely enough that it caused reporters to regard certified studies differently than non-certified studies, would probably do more good than harm. And, you know, it is probably the sort of thing where an academic-led effort could successfully play the role of neutral arbiter. cheers Bram
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Bram Dov Abramson